JAN 30 NBC Cancel/Renew Index - L&O, K&K improve, KR dips
Posted: Sat Jan 31, 2009 9:50 am
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Now that Sunday Night Football is done, NBC’s average for adults 18-49 is dropping, and that makes many of its shows look like candidates to be renewed and not cancelled. Chuck being renewed is looking more and more certain. And while Law & Order could be renewed on history alone (20th season!), its numbers are looking better relative to the trainwreck that is NBC. Same with Kath & Kim. I’d have given it little hope of being renewed earlier, but NBC’s a beggar, not a chooser. Another few weeks and those last 2 will be in the green.
Remember that plenty can change before the end of the season, particularly for the shows with indexes between 0.80 and last season’s renewal line of 0.92. The list is presented in a (and has to be, since I cannot predict future ratings) “what would happen if the season ended today” mode. Could the renewal line be 0.86 this season? Possibly. It might also be 0.95. Might it be 0.70? No chance.
*** Pretty much everything not already cancelled upticked except KR, Life and FNL. We need to continue to improve. I am surprised we dipped.
PROGRAM Net STD 18-49 (LIVE+SD) (000) Network Avg. STD 18-49 Renew/ Cancel index Status
---------In Danger of Cancellation Below--------
CRUSOE NBC 1,204 3,480 0.35 finishing Sat
FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS* NBC 1,931 3,480 0.55 (.59 as of last week)
LIPSTICK JUNGLE NBC 1,969 3,480 0.57 cancelled
KNIGHT RIDER NBC 2,535 3,480 0.73 (.74 as of last week)
LIFE - WED (1) NBC 2,553 3,480 0.73 (.73 as of last week)
MY OWN WORST ENEMY NBC 2,636 3,480 0.76 cancelled
KATH & KIM NBC 3,022 3,480 0.87 (.86 as of last week)
LAW AND ORDER NBC 3,056 3,480 0.88 (.86 as of last week)
---------Considered Safe Below--------------------
CHUCK NBC 3,348 3,480 0.96 (.95 as of last week)
MY NAME IS EARL NBC 3,387 3,480 0.97 (.96 as of last week)
E.R. NBC 4,351 3,480 1.25 final season
30 ROCK NBC 4,398 3,480 1.26 (1.25)
LAW AND ORDER:SVU NBC 4,570 3,480 1.31 (1.30)
HEROES NBC 5,343 3,480 1.54 (1.52)
OFFICE NBC 5,550 3,480 1.59 (1.57)
Now that Sunday Night Football is done, NBC’s average for adults 18-49 is dropping, and that makes many of its shows look like candidates to be renewed and not cancelled. Chuck being renewed is looking more and more certain. And while Law & Order could be renewed on history alone (20th season!), its numbers are looking better relative to the trainwreck that is NBC. Same with Kath & Kim. I’d have given it little hope of being renewed earlier, but NBC’s a beggar, not a chooser. Another few weeks and those last 2 will be in the green.
Remember that plenty can change before the end of the season, particularly for the shows with indexes between 0.80 and last season’s renewal line of 0.92. The list is presented in a (and has to be, since I cannot predict future ratings) “what would happen if the season ended today” mode. Could the renewal line be 0.86 this season? Possibly. It might also be 0.95. Might it be 0.70? No chance.
*** Pretty much everything not already cancelled upticked except KR, Life and FNL. We need to continue to improve. I am surprised we dipped.
PROGRAM Net STD 18-49 (LIVE+SD) (000) Network Avg. STD 18-49 Renew/ Cancel index Status
---------In Danger of Cancellation Below--------
CRUSOE NBC 1,204 3,480 0.35 finishing Sat
FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS* NBC 1,931 3,480 0.55 (.59 as of last week)
LIPSTICK JUNGLE NBC 1,969 3,480 0.57 cancelled
KNIGHT RIDER NBC 2,535 3,480 0.73 (.74 as of last week)
LIFE - WED (1) NBC 2,553 3,480 0.73 (.73 as of last week)
MY OWN WORST ENEMY NBC 2,636 3,480 0.76 cancelled
KATH & KIM NBC 3,022 3,480 0.87 (.86 as of last week)
LAW AND ORDER NBC 3,056 3,480 0.88 (.86 as of last week)
---------Considered Safe Below--------------------
CHUCK NBC 3,348 3,480 0.96 (.95 as of last week)
MY NAME IS EARL NBC 3,387 3,480 0.97 (.96 as of last week)
E.R. NBC 4,351 3,480 1.25 final season
30 ROCK NBC 4,398 3,480 1.26 (1.25)
LAW AND ORDER:SVU NBC 4,570 3,480 1.31 (1.30)
HEROES NBC 5,343 3,480 1.54 (1.52)
OFFICE NBC 5,550 3,480 1.59 (1.57)